Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.059898 0.067775 0.075806 0.084575 0.093854 0.103351 0.113783
2025-10-12 0.046231 0.057667 0.069883 0.083768 0.098989 0.115057 0.133196
2025-10-19 0.038514 0.052226 0.067445 0.085285 0.105349 0.126982 0.151851
2025-10-26 0.032177 0.047293 0.064681 0.085619 0.109679 0.136068 0.166836
2025-11-02 0.027755 0.043972 0.063235 0.086971 0.114731 0.145594 0.181977
2025-11-09 0.023544 0.040379 0.061045 0.087086 0.118053 0.152911 0.194409
2025-11-16 0.018808 0.035547 0.056907 0.084506 0.117916 0.156018 0.201841
2025-11-23 0.014915 0.031352 0.053198 0.082135 0.117766 0.158896 0.208819
2025-11-30 0.012929 0.029598 0.052454 0.083285 0.121708 0.166436 0.221068
2025-12-07 0.011395 0.028318 0.052208 0.084959 0.126206 0.174566 0.233948
2025-12-14 0.010397 0.027742 0.052835 0.087688 0.131949 0.184135 0.248477
2025-12-21 0.009000 0.026341 0.052207 0.088707 0.135519 0.191074 0.259897
2025-12-28 0.009283 0.027908 0.055931 0.095648 0.146721 0.207440 0.282755
2026-01-04 0.007391 0.025441 0.053773 0.094765 0.148133 0.212096 0.291895
2026-01-11 0.006357 0.024361 0.053537 0.096379 0.152645 0.220455 0.305390
2026-01-18 0.005178 0.022777 0.052432 0.096735 0.155498 0.226765 0.316422
2026-01-25 0.004371 0.021797 0.052162 0.098176 0.159698 0.234682 0.329345
2026-02-01 0.003439 0.020314 0.050997 0.098300 0.162144 0.240413 0.339622
2026-02-08 0.002244 0.017751 0.047892 0.095548 0.160740 0.241318 0.344025
2026-02-15 0.001348 0.015475 0.045044 0.093016 0.159518 0.242367 0.348534
2026-02-22 0.001010 0.014771 0.044820 0.094244 0.163233 0.249530 0.360415
2026-03-01 0.000775 0.014315 0.044991 0.096031 0.167678 0.257595 0.373386
2026-03-08 0.000655 0.014289 0.045925 0.098941 0.173625 0.267543 0.388649